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After a round of talks in Geneva last month, the United States and China will sit down at the negotiating table in London on Monday to attempt to preserve a fragile truce on trade, despite simmering tensions. His press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, "We want China and the United States to continue moving forward with the agreement that was struck in Geneva."
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Fund managers advise investors to consider shifting from long-term to shorter-term bond funds. This comes after strong gains in long-term debt funds. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to pause rate cuts. Experts suggest focusing on accrual-based strategies. Floating rate funds are also recommended. Investors should lower their return expectations.
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Following the RBI's policy measures, banks are poised to benefit from increased liquidity. This influx allows for strategic deployment into credit or securities, boosting interest income while anticipated deposit rate cuts lower funding costs. Consequently, net interest income and profit margins are expected to improve, with NIM pressure potentially bottoming out by the end of the September quarter.
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Nifty is poised for an upward movement towards the 25,300-25,500 range, fueled by the RBI's rate cut. Experts suggest a 'buy on dips' strategy, anticipating gains in rate-sensitive sectors like private banks, real estate, and automobiles. Technical analysis indicates a potential breakout, with key support levels identified at 24,800 and 24,500.
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Morgan Stanley's Gokul Laroia believes Indian market recovery hinges on government spending and rural demand revival. He anticipates continued US dollar weakening. Laroia notes global investors were cautious about India but that sentiment is shifting. He acknowledges India's valuations are high but justified by earnings growth and ROE. US Treasury yields are a concern due to the rising fiscal deficit.
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