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India's economy experienced unexpected robust growth and low inflation in 2025, a 'Goldilocks year'. Experts anticipate a cautious Union Budget 2026, emphasizing continuity and fiscal restraint. While cyclical factors boosted growth, policy innovation and strategic investment, particularly in state capex and FDI, are crucial for sustained stellar performance.
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Private banks show attractive valuations and positive future growth. Defence stocks have strong order books but limited rerating potential. ITC faces volume challenges due to taxation changes, impacting its earnings trajectory. Investors are watching budget announcements for potential shifts in these sectors.
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Motilal Oswal Financial Services believes regulatory pressures on broking are easing. The firm anticipates renewed growth in the broking sector. Asset management and private equity businesses are performing strongly. Motilal Oswal is raising new funds and expanding its presence in alternative investments. Wealth management shows resilience despite market fluctuations. The company remains optimistic about long-term equity market growth.
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