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Swaminathan Aiyar suggests the Reserve Bank of India might lower interest rates. This decision hinges on a possible US recession. The US Federal Reserve's approach to inflation and interest rates could restrict the RBI's moves. Aiyar notes India has managed well with higher rates. Therefore, immediate cuts are not crucial.
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Asian equities saw gains, boosted by Japanese stocks, while US stock futures remained flat amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Short-dated Treasuries rallied, and the dollar weakened following reports of a potential new Federal Reserve Chair. Investors are weighing the impact of Middle East tensions and US tariffs, with the S&P 500 nearing a record high.
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Public sector banks increased certificate of deposit issuance since 2022. Their market share rose significantly. Private banks initially led CD issuance during Covid. PSBs dominated after February 2022. Liquidity drives CD issuance. CD issuance reached a high in early 2025 due to credit demand. Private banks have longer CD tenors. PSBs use CDs for short-term funding.
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