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SBI research predicts a 75 basis points rate cut in FY25 due to low inflation. Inflation is expected to be 3.9% in the fourth quarter and average 4.7% for the year. Industrial production grew to 5% in January 2025. Corporate revenue increased by 6.2% in Q3 FY25. Rising imported inflation and global uncertainties remain concerns.
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The RBI policy pivot is a very important and substantial move from a macroeconomic perspective and over the next few quarters we will start seeing the impact at the ground level. The second is the government capex.
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Anurag Singh from Ansid Capital notes that while US companies are exceeding Q4 expectations, their cautious guidance for upcoming quarters is causing market corrections. Although inflation worries are easing, recessionary fears persist due to deteriorating macro data like GDP growth and employment. The market awaits clarity on potential Fed actions amid economic uncertainty.
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