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Invesco's Arnab Das suggests a fragmented global economy with shifting capital flows from the US to Europe and Asia due to trade tensions. While retaliation from China is underway, the primary short-term risk remains a potential recession. Das advises a holistic portfolio review, cautioning against impulsive reactions amidst market dislocations.
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ICICI Securities' Probal Sen views the excise duty hike, not passed to consumers, positively, especially after prior LPG compensation disappointments. The collected excise tax, along with the LPG cylinder price increase, will offset accumulated LPG losses. While the market anticipated a price cut, the government is monitoring crude price trends.
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On the positive side there has been a good union budget (tax rates cut), easing actions by the central bank (rate cuts, liquidity boost, regulatory relaxations), and uptick in government spending. The rally in March was a welcome relief. However, I believe that the markets could remain rangebound in the near term.
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News and Media
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