Morgan Stanley says Indian equities are poised to regain their mojo in 2026 after their worst relative performance in 31 years, citing a policy pivot that is reviving nominal growth, forecasting a bull-case Sensex target of 107,000 by December 2026. Even the brokerages base case sees the benchmark reaching 95,000, driven by macro stability, fiscal consolidation, private investment and potential monetary easing. In this backdrop, Morgan Stanley has built a focus portfolio of 10 Overweight-rated stocks it believes are best positioned to benefit from Indias cyclical recovery.
Bitcoins drop below the $90,000 mark has erased its yearly gains, triggering broad crypto sell-offs driven by ETF outflows, rate-cut uncertainty, leverage unwinds and weakening sentiment, raising fears of a deeper correction or crypto winter.
India's market valuations are considered expensive on an absolute basis but less so compared to other global markets. Vikash Kumar Jain highlights rate-sensitive sectors, consumption, and an out-of-consensus overweight on IT as potential growth areas. He notes that while a global AI stock consolidation could benefit India, a broader correction might lead to multiple contractions.
India's market is regaining investor interest. Economic data shows strength. Valuations are becoming reasonable compared to peers. Geopolitical worries are easing. While not yet a direct AI boom player, India's fundamentals are improving. Trade deals with the US and EU are anticipated. This shift is making India a more attractive investment destination.
