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Could the era of the super cheap phone case arriving from China in a week finally be ending? Thanks to a major change to European regulations, it just might. European Union finance ministers have agreed to impose customs duties on low-value parcels entering the bloc at some point next year, scrapping the long-standing de minimis exemption for goods under 150 (or $175). The move is seen as a way to slow the flood of cheap Chinese imports from platforms such as Shein and Temu. These goods now account for the bulk of the EUs 4.6 billion small parcels a year, more than 90% of which came from China. The EU’s move follows the U.S. governments decision to destroy its own de minimis waiver for Chinese e-commerce products. Because companies like Shein and Temu depend on shipping huge volumes of low-value parcels directly from Chinese warehouses to consumers, they will be hit hardest by the EU’s change. Its difficult to see how they will find an easy way around italthough given its coming on the heels of the U.S. doing similar, Im sure they are already working on that, says e-commerce expert Ben Graham. The regulatory shift will allow e-commerce to be more competitive across all digital channels. As a result, the shift is being presented as a big win for the EU, even if it happens to follow the United States taking a similar approach to small package rules earlier this year under Donald Trump. Yet while the moves in both countries is aimed at Shein and Temu, it could also wind up harming homegrown companies in both Europe and the U.S. The removal of de minimis rules is reshaping global e-commerce, says Ronald Kleijwegt, CEO at logistics platform Vinturas. EU exporters now face tariffs on low-value items, extra customs paperwork, and higher shipping costs when selling to the U.S. Kleijwegt says the impact cuts both ways: U.S. small businesses lose access to affordable European goods, while smaller EU firms lose duty-free access to the American market, he explains. Its not just the infamous de minimis import duty benefit thats in the firing line in Europe: Brussels has also floated a 2 handling fee on every low-value parcel and is pushing member states to stop undeclared packages from slipping through customs. Some individual countries, including Romania and Italy, are already introducing their own national fees while they wait for the EU-wide regime to kick in. Existential or not? The question is whether Temu and Shein will face a simple hit to their margins, or an existential threat to their whole business model. Roberto Lobue, partner and retail sector expert at accountancy and business advisory firm Menzies, argues the changes will bite hard and fast. Since the U.S. scrapped its own de minimis duty free limit, the amount of low-value items exported to the U.S. has dropped dramatically, as firms like Shein and Temu focused increasingly on the EU market, he says. With Europe becoming a back door for lower valued goods, the EUs move to accelerate its own reversal next year comes as no surprise. For Lobue, the end of duty-free thresholds is where the Temu and Shein model starts to crack. Once duties and handling fees apply from the first euro, prices will rise, logistics will get more complex, and Shein and Temu will need to shift to bulk imports, EU warehousing, and stricter customs compliance, he says. The change removes a long-criticized competitive distortion, and will likely dampen the impulse buying that fuels these platforms, as even small added fees can make a big impact. As prices edge up, he warns, the whole purpose of the two platformsits ultracheap pricesgets weaker. As their prices climb, competitors like Amazon are already moving to capture bargain-hunters, with the launch of its new Haul feature, and others may seek to capitalize, he says. Julian Skelly, managing partner of retail at Publicis Sapient, thinks Temu and Shein are unlikely to be killed off. But they will have to evolve. They’ve built impressive capabilities around direct-to-consumer logistics and demand sensing; now they’ll need to leverage those strengths differently, he says. The attempt to hobble the Chinese companies might not have its intended goal. Platforms built on ultra-low-value cross-border shipping are under similar pressure, says Kleijwegt. Both Temu and Shein explored appointing U.S.-based entities or distributors to manage domestic clearance and distribution, but that adds cost and complexity to their operations, he adds. Kleijwegt points out that the turbulence also exposes a bigger systems problem. Businesses need systems that can adapt quickly, share information securely, and provide visibility across borders as trade tensions and new rules mount, he says. Stronger connectivity reduces compliance friction, enables companies to respond faster to regulatory change, cuts complexity, and builds the resilience needed to compete in an unpredictable trade environment. This can make the difference between staying competitive in international markets and being shut out.
Category:
E-Commerce
In its early days, the odds seemed good that YouTube was destined for failure. After a false start as a dating website, it wasnt clear whether the company could cover the cost of streaming video content, or avoid the fate of Napster, which was sued out of business for copyright infringement. But after getting acquired by Google in 2006, and deciding to share ad revenue with creators a year later, YouTube went on not only to survive, but also to revolutionize the entire media ecosystemfrom “double rainbows” to the “Ice Bucket Challenge.” In 2024, YouTube took in $36.3 billion in ad revenue, and today it is the most-watched video provider in the U.S.not just among streamers, but cable and broadcast TV as well. Fast Company spoke to CEO Neal Mohan and creators like Rebecca Black and Smosh about how YouTube continues to redefine what TV can be.
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E-Commerce
Jeff Bezos will serve as co-chief executive officer of a new artificial intelligence startup that focuses on AI for engineering and manufacturing of computers, automobiles, and spacecraft, the New York Times reported on Monday. The company, called Project Prometheus, has garnered $6.2 billion in funding, partly from the Amazon founder, making it one of the most well-financed early-stage startups in the world, the report said, citing three people familiar with the company. This is the first time Bezos has taken a formal operational role in a company since he stepped down as the CEO of Amazon in July 2021. Though he is involved in Blue Origin, his official title at the space firm is founder. With the new startup, Bezos is entering a crowded AI market with several smaller firms attempting to break through with new software and products while in a race with industry mainstays such as the Microsoft-backed OpenAI, Meta, and Google. Reuters could not independently verify the report. Bezos and a representative did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. Bezos’ co-chief executive is Vik Bajaj, a physicist and chemist who worked closely with Google’s co-founder Sergey Brin at Google’s X, a research effort often called The Moonshot Factory, the report said. Project Prometheus has already hired nearly 100 employees, including researchers from top AI firms such as OpenAI, DeepMind, and Meta, according to the Times. Zaheer Kachwala, Reuters
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E-Commerce
Want more housing market stories from Lance Lamberts ResiClub in your inbox? Subscribe to the ResiClub newsletter. When I recently reached out to Moodys Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi for his updated home price forecast, he said his long-term outlook for the U.S. housing market remains largely unchanged: he expects a prolonged period of stagnation as affordability gradually improves. Following the historic run-up in prices during the Pandemic Housing Boom and the subsequent mortgage rate shock, Zandi believes resale activity/existing home sales will likely stay frozen for several more years. Affordability has to be restored for housing to regain its mojo, Zandi told ResiClub. Flat home prices [adjusted for inflation] is the healthiest path forwardits the only way for incomes to catch up. Zandi expects nominal national home prices to move sideways over the next 12 to 24 months, with local variation: markets in the South and West, where building has been stronger, seeing some modest declines, while tight-inventory markets in the Northeast and Midwest remain more stable. The worst of the pain in the housing market might be now and in the next six to nine months. After that, things will begin to feel a little betterbut not good, Zandi said. The housing market will heal . . . but its going to take timeand a lot of patience. Over the next decade, Zandi projects U.S. home prices will rise roughly in line with inflation, meaning no real [adjusted for inflation] house price gains for around 10 years. While Zandis team at Moodys Analytics expects U.S. home prices not to rise on a real (i.e., inflation-adjusted) basis, the firm is forecasting that nominal U.S. home prices will increase +23.5% between December 2025 and December 2035. (Note: Real home prices are adjusted for inflation, and nominal home prices are not adjusted for inflation. All the charts below are forecasts for nominal home prices.) In the chart above, you can see where Moodys latest forecasts would take U.S. home prices by the end of 2035and in the chart below, how the forecasted annual gains compare to the historical performance of the asset class. Moodys forecast for annual home price changes: 2026 > +0.48% 2027 > +1.35% 2028 > +2.39% 2029 > +2.78% 2030 > +2.86% 2031 > +2.71% 2032 > +2.44% 2033 > +2.18% 2034 > +2.05% 2035 > +2.08% Outside of affordabilitythe primary headwind Zandi believes is restraining real home prices and the broader housing markethe also highlighted additional challenges: a restrictive immigration environment that could limit the future construction labor force, particularly in the South and West, and elevated long-term Treasury yields connected to long-term fiscal risks. He said the latter could keep mortgage rates closer to 6.0% than 5.5%which had been his previous long-term outlook for the average 30-year fixed mortgage ratefor the foreseeable future. How does Moodys forecast vary by market? Check out the interactive below. window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var t in a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data["datawrapper-height"][t]+"px";r.style.height=d}}}); Financial forecasts looking out even one year often struggle to get it rightlet alone those stretching out a full decade. So with any forecast like this, its best to approach it with some skepticism, or at least avoid treating it as a certain destiny. Whether or not the exact numbers play out, Moodys broader message is clear: The firm doesnt expect a 2008-style housing crash or another explosive housing boom in the coming years. Instead, it anticipates the housing market will continue to gradually recalibrate following the historic Pandemic Housing Boom.
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E-Commerce
Five students at U.S. military academies and three each from Yale University, Harvard University, and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology are among the 32 American winners named Sunday as 2026 Rhodes scholars. The group includes students focused on housing, health outcomes, sustainability, and prison reentry programs. They include: Alice L. Hall of Philadelphia, a varsity basketball player at MIT who also serves as student body president. Hall, who has collaborated with a womens collective in Ghana on sustainability tools, plans to study engineering. Sydney E. Barta of Arlington, Virginia, a Paralympian and member of the track team at Stanford University, who studies bioengineering and sings in the Stanford acapella group Counterpoint. Barta plans to study musculoskeletal sciences. Anirvin Puttur of Gilbert, Arizona, is a senior at the U.S. Air Force Academy who serves as an instructor pilot and flight commander. Puttur, who is studying aeronautical engineering and applied mathematics, also has a deep interest in linguistics and is proficient in four languages. The students will attend the University of Oxford as part of the Rhodes scholar program, which awards more than 100 scholarships worldwide each year for students to pursue two to three years of graduate studies. Named after British imperialist and benefactor Cecil John Rhodes, the scholarship was established at Oxford in 1903. The program has more than 8,000 alumni, many of whom have pursued careers in government, education, the arts, and social justice.
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E-Commerce
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