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UBS forecasts a strong rebound in Indias consumer sector by FY26, citing easing input costs, fiscal stimulus, and rural wage growth. It names DMart, Trent, and HUL as top stock picks, while upgrading Colgate, GCPL, and ITC. Asian Paints, Dabur, and Jubilant were downgraded due to growth and margin concerns.
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Industry association Care and Support West says it is likely some small providers will struggle.
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So, if it is a mild, soft landing kind of recession, then the revenues will be secured, you may degrow at most 2-3% and you can grow at most 2-3%, I think that is the situation today.
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